for A National Strategy for Energy Security
To avoid a morass of conflicting local codes, the federal government, in conjunction with stakeholders and other organizations, should offer model regulations for autonomous vehicles, including for on-demand ride services.
Consultancy Wood Mackenzie says EVs could slice gasoline demand by as much as 20 percent by 2035. Highly optimistic forecasts of EV market penetration have drawn scrutiny in the past, so it’s worth considering, what, if anything, has changed to put Woodmac’s projections closer to reality.
Three “synergistic technological developments”—the rise of autonomous cars, the popularity of ride-sharing services, and the electrification of the car fleet—will have enormous implications for fuel demand, perhaps slicing it by as much as 50 percent.
With global GDP growth having fallen by .3 percentage points last year, it’s clear that low oil prices, which were sustained throughout all of 2015, were the main factor behind the rise in gasoline consumption, the largest growth in 35 years.
Avery Ash, Director of Federal Relations for the American Automobile Association, speaks to The Fuse about the safety benefits of driverless cars, and the importance of avoiding a messy patchwork of overlapping state-by-state regulations that would stymie innovation in the transportation sector.
In SAFE’s view, not only will the car of the future not run on oil, it will likely be shared, autonomous, incredibly safe, highly efficient, and better in almost every way than our current transportation system—a vision that the private sector is striving to achieve, but will only be possible with the cooperation of policymakers.