for The Federal Reserve
The combination of higher interest rates and rising drilling costs could stifle the rebound in shale production. While the oil majors will likely take higher interest rates in stride, more expensive credit would threaten the financial health of small E&Ps.
OPEC policy, fresh data from agencies such as the IEA and the EIA, price speculators, and geopolitical disruptions are all known as market movers. But there’s another important player in oil price movements, and that’s the Federal Reserve.
The oil markets will be keeping a close eye on interest rates, as any rate hike could push prices even lower.
Shale drillers, with diminishing access to inexpensive debt and the cushion of price hedges, face a murky outlook as oil prices seem unlikely to rebound.